Of all the scenarios of upcoming developments in the region, the most realistic, however sad it might be, is the American one, i.e. the attack on Iran. Pretext for an attack exists; it is the Iranian nuclear program, although it would be difficult to think of a more unconvincing reason for war. Whether or not Tehran has a nuclear program is a thing of little importance, especially since it can be seen from the satellite what the ayatollahs are actually plotting there. And they may contrive anything, ranging from the spread of their regime in nearby Islamic countries, primarily in Iraq, to making of a real nuclear bomb.