The Guardian predicts Armenia’s victory at Eurovision 2015 (video)

 May 23, 2015 - 14:35 AMT

PanARMENIAN.Net - Britain’s The Guardian predicted Armenia’s victory at this year’s Eurovision song contest.

“Data behind Eurovision votes suggest some countries perform consistently well. We look at whether numbers can point us to who will triumph in Vienna,” The Guardian said.

“Here’s what’s probably going to happen:

• Viewers will be treated to a few out of the ordinary performances • Everyone will be complaining about regional voting blocs • Like most competitions that involve competing against other European nations (and doesn’t include the use of bicycles), the UK entry will flop.

But we’re going to be a bit bolder than that.

We’re having a shot at predicting who is going to follow in the footsteps of Conchita Wurst as the winner of the contest,” The Guardian said.

“Our model is not based on the quality of the songs (or the lack thereof), but on an average of votes each participating nation received over the past 12 years, which is then adjusted for factors that include present day geopolitics, form in more recent editions, past performance and tempo.

We have now spent the last two years tinkering with the model and hope the improvements we’re introducing mean that our projected winner will be the one to take it all.

So without further ado, the Guardian data prediction for Eurovision 2015 winner is... Armenia!

Genealogy’s controversial “Face the Shadow” references the mass murder of 1.5m Armenians by the Ottoman Empire in 1915. It was originally called “Don’t Deny” – Turkey still contests that it was not a genocide, and this title was deemed too political by Eurovision organisers.

Other countries our model expects will make the top 10 include Serbia, Sweden, and Azerbaijan,” The Guardian concludes.