Ilham Aliev's policy concerning the question of Armenia is fully in deadlock

PanARMENIAN.Net - Sometimes it even seems that the president of Azerbaijan has lost his sense of reality and proportion and he thinks that if Azerbaijan still lives in the feudal Middle Ages then the rest of the world has the same idea as he has -to annihilate the Armenia that dares to stand on the way of the "Great Azerbaijan". We can only guess what the reactions of the political figures and world-wide mass media towards these statements are, since the Azerbaijan press comes breathless with delight from their president's openness at the time when the other countries keep absolute silence. We can suppose that this silence is not a mark of consent but just an unwillingness to comment on this absurdity. Matthew Braisa from the USA in the framework of MG OSCE reacted best of all to junior Aliev: "The president of Azerbaijan can say whatever he wants; we are not going to comment on his statements".

Ilham Aliev will fail to drive Armenia at a deadlock and to become "the second national leader' by the example of his father for a variety of reasons. The main cause that he, being just the image of his father, makes statements that match only for a tribal princeling with excessively developed ambitions. By the way, Haydar Aliev will never let himself to make such statements. He treated the question more seriously; the unfounded statements were not enough for him, but he paid the mass media for reports in the favor of Azerbaijan. It was the way during the war of Karabagh. And later in Moscow and not only there the matter was quickly taken under control and they began writing and showing what was really going on. Making the impact of the Armenian lobby greater, roughlyspeaking Azerbaijan doubts the common sense of the whole world.

The fact that Ilham Aliev's policy in the matter of Armenia is driven at a deadlock is clearly known in Baku. They also know that not the Azerbaijanis can become impatient, as by the highest standards nothing matters to them but the world community can lose the patience. Ilham Aliev's hopes concerning the political dividends from the oil-pipe line can not become the very truncheon with the help of which the Armenians of Karabagh can be "pacified". To put it mildly, these dividends are more like soap bubbles, as judging by the words of American expert Richarg Giragosyan, the value of the oil-pipe line Baku-Tbilisi-Ghehyan turns to be in the direct dependence on Kazakhstan. That is to say if tomorrow Nursultan Nazarbaev decides that there is no point to support Azerbaijan than he will just turn off the tap. And it will mean the end of Aliev's flow of the oil dollars. And if we add onto all this the steady slump in oil prices then Azerbaijan will appear in difficult straits. The oil in Caspian Sea makes 3% of the world wide explored reserves; in the Middle East it makes 63%. It is a simple arithmetic-Azerbaijan can not be seriously perceived by the USA and Europe as one of the leading suppliers of hydrocarbons. And it means that the political influence of that country is in the direct dependence on that very 3%.