Kurdistan thinks that Ankara's transboundery operation is doomed to failure

The breakdown of the voting of Resolution 106 about the Armenian Genocide did much good to the negotiations between the USA and Turkey.

The negotiations between President of the USA and the Turkish Prime-Minister finished in a rather predicted way: Bush practically gave carte blanche to the Turkish invasion of Northern Iraq, calling it antiterrorist operations. After the negotiations with George Bush, Recep Erdoghan announced that Turkey had decided to carry military operation and is not on the threshold of war.
PanARMENIAN.Net - "I particularly emphasize that what we are going to realize is a military operation. The specialists and representatives of General Staff are well aware of it," he said, and added, that he doesn't excluded that this decision may become the "reason of war" in the south-eastern part of Turkey and in the whole country.

Besides Erdoghan once again emphasized that Turkey "uses all the rights issued by the international law, against separatist terrorist organization in Northern Iraq, which threatens the territorial integrity and security of the country." "If the military operation is carried out it will exceptionally be against the Kurdistan Workers Party and never against the civilian population," announced Erdoghan. According to him, Ankara thinks that "Turkey expects effective cooperation from its allies in its fight against the Kurdistan Workers Party," says ITAR-TASS. However, President of Turkey Abdullah Gul is not as categorical and announced that "Turkey hasn't decided yet what measures it will take against the Kurdistan Workers Party, but the fact that the Party poses great threat for Turkey and Northern Iraq, is out of question." Gul also mentioned that one of the most important achievements of Erdoghan's visit was the US support for the anti-terrorist operations. "Stabilization of Iraq isn't limited to calmness in Baghdad or in other provinces. Terrorists in the north of the country also threaten the stabilization of Iraq," quotes Associate Press the words of the President.

According to the official representative of Iraqi Kurdistan in the CIS countries Babakra Khoshavi, if Ankara still starts a transboundery operation, it will be doomed to failure. "Many years these mountainous regions have been out of control and those who are familiar with the guerrilla warfare know how complicated it is to carry any military actions in such conditions. Turkey has more than once tried to make it happen, but the operations failed. That is why we call Turkey to solve these problems in a peaceful way, so that the whole region wouldn't suffer destabilization", said the representative of Kurdistan during the Press-Conference in Moscow.

If Turkey indeed unleashes the war with Iraq, and it must be mentioned that everything leads to this, it means that Turkey is not only interested in extermination of the Kurdish militants. Ankara wants first of all to become the power holder of the region. Turkey tries to find common language with the Arab World, which because of the friendship of Ankara and Tel-Aviv don't favor Turkey much. All that is going on at the moment makes Turkey's "new" foreign policy, which at the moment looks at the USA, but looks for closer allies, like Russia.

According to experts, the independent country of Kurdistan already exists; it only has to receive its legal recognition. "The existence of the Kurdish State will put an end to the current Turkish Republic. The USA's efforts will not bring to anything any way, and Turkey will unleash the war in Northern Iraq, which will result in Iraq's federalization. But this is not the only factor to put an end to Turkey. Turkey will be shattered by national and religious issues, because the representatives of other ethnic communities living under Ankara's pressure will stand up," says Armenian historian Haikazun Alvrtsyan.

It should be mentioned that the breakdown of the voting of Resolution 106 about the Armenian Genocide did much good to the negotiations between the USA and Turkey. The truth is that Turks are too "upset" to be happy with the promise of help. "It will be very difficult for the USA to handle the situation, if it doesn't offer something to the Kurdistan Workers Party. The American-Turkish relations are being through hard times, they have improved a little, but they won't be like they used to. Many countries pass bills concerning the events of 1915, but for the first time a country denies its recognition so publicly," thinks the analyst of the International Crisis Group Hue Pop.
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