Levon Melik-Shahnazaryan:

Azerbaijan estranges itself from Russia to please U.S.

PanARMENIAN.Net - Calls to resolve the Nagorno Karabakh conflict by use of force become more frequent in Azerbaijan. President Aliyev's statements on "determination to liberate their lands" meet approval among media and politicians, who sometimes call for war against Armenia as well. PanARMENIAN.Net requested political scientist Levon Melik-Shahnazaryan to comment on Azeri statements.
Well known Azeri political scientist Vafa Guluzade has announced necessity "to deploy a couple of Turkish divisions in Nakhichevan and aim them at Yerevan and Russian bases in Gyumri." Will you comment on this statement?

Guluzade, once a renowned "hawk" in Baku, was plucked and a bit broiled by Heydar Aliyev. Now he is playing up to Aliyev junior. However, it's not his personal ambitions. Guluzade sounds "fresh ideas" if they are meant to please Ilham Aliyev's and fit Azerbaijan's foreign policy, which aims at integration with U.S. and NATO and confrontation with Russia. In this respect, Guluzade's statement clearly reflects the aspirations of Azerbaijan, which eyes Armenia, NKR, Russia and Iran as enemies. I should mention that Azerbaijan is immoderately trying to satisfy its new patrons.

Nevertheless, is the scenario with Turkish divisions possible?

I don't think it's possible in the near future, since it will transform a local conflict into global war. Modern Turkey is not an independent military state. It's bound by commitments with NATO. I do not think that NATO is interested in an armed confrontation for the sake of Azerbaijan's unsatisfied territorial ambitions.

Azerbaijan is dreaming to be carried back to the times when all domestic and foreign tasks were settled under Turkey's supervision. CSTO Secretary General Nikolay Bordyuzha furnished a worthy comment on the issue. When asked about current threats, Mr Bordyuzha said, "These are militant statements by representatives of various countries to resolve the so-called frozen conflict by use of force. It refers to escalation of military activities, boost of defense budget and personnel number in Georgia and Azerbaijan."
However, our history records that in 1918 the Turkish army led by Nuri intervened in the Caucasus. As result, the Azerbaijani Republic was formed. At that time Turkish ascetics and recruits from Caucasian Tatars (future Azeris) slaughtered not only Armenian peasants but also Russian soldiers who were returning to Russia from the Caucasian front. Over 3 thousand Russian soldiers were killed in Shamkhor. Massacre of Russian soldiers took place in Ghazakh, Gyandja and even in Baku suburbs - Baladjary and Surakhany. Simply, Azerbaijan had high hopes for Turkey then. Presently, it worships the United States and NATO.

It turns out that Guluzade's statement is a mere populist trick…

Not exactly. It's a propagandistic canard. I repeat, Guluzade sounds Azerbaiajan's foreign ambitions. This republic estranges itself from Russia to please the U.S. Do you remember the headlines of Saturday edition of pro-governmental Zerkalo (Mirror) Baku-based newspaper? "Russia levies war on Azerbaijan and Georgia", "Putin's provocation fails", "New imperial spurt ahead"…

All this is meant to demonstrate adherence to Washington. However, Baku dislikes confessing that the majority of population lives at expense of transfers made by Azeri gastarbeiters in Russia.

Azerbaijan's original understanding of geopolitical dualism leads to such collisions.
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