Due to instability, new Middle East will be fraught with more threats than former one

PanARMENIAN.Net - However, let us describe the events in sequence. Protest actions in Tunisia that spread over to Egypt, Yemen, Algeria, and now to Iran were not spontaneous at all; neither were they dictated by the aspiration of the Arab world for democracy. Everything was much simpler: the U.S. wanted to, at any price, retain control over the situation in the Middle East, so shaky because of the really short-sighted policy of the Obama administration, which found nothing better than to play down to the Muslim world, betraying her allies - most notably Egypt and Israel. Washington even forgot the fatal mistake of Jimmy Carter, who welcomed the Islamic revolution in Iran. Better than anyone else the U.S. knows how it all ended. The second mistake was about the so-called free elections in the Gaza Strip, which brought to power Islamic radicals in the person of Hamas. If the U.S. is really eager to Islamize the Arab world following the example of Iran, Pakistan and Afghanistan, these actions are understandable and clearly fit into the scheme. And if not? It’s here that a chain of unanswerable questions begins. It must also be taken into account that for some reason Obama considers the Prime Minister of Turkey to be the leading democrat in this part of the world and is in constant contact with him. But the Egyptian army will never tolerate a foreign government, and especially Turkey, to interfere in its affairs.

With the example of Egypt one can trace all the lameness of this approach to the problem. For long no one has been fascinated with the words “freedom”, “democracy” and “progress”. On the contrary, they are becoming an excuse for people who are reluctant to work and change their lives, and are waiting for “manna from heaven”. The military, who took power in Egypt, is still trying to persuade people to leave Tahrir Square in an amicable way. But if the protesters continue persisting, the army will have to use force and then life under Mubarak will seem if not a paradise, at least something closely similar. That said, nothing can change in a week: prices will not fall, job opportunities will not increase and corruption will not become a thing of the past. And when you also take into account the fact that bribery in the East is almost a national tradition, it becomes quite vague what the authors of “Twitter-revolution” wanted. Meanwhile, Commander-in-Chief of the Egyptian Armed Forces Mohamed Hussein Tantawi, now the de facto leader of the country, has already begun to tighten screws, understanding “democratization of society” in a peculiar way. Hardly can dissolution of parliament, suspension of the constitution and ban on demonstrations be regarded as such. Nonetheless, the main thing for the Egyptian army and people is stability and tranquility, which in no way can be provided by “Muslim Brothers”.

But most important is the economy. Because of the riots, Egypt has lost its basic income - tourism. Losses have undermined the already weak economy, and at least six months is necessary till the tourists return to the beaches of Sharm al-Sheikh and to the pyramids. All the assistance to be received from the outer world will be taken by the army for its needs; it’s not so easy to feed half a million people! Besides, it is also necessary to rearm, since no one can guarantee peace in the Middle East after a series of riots, persistently referred to by the West as a “revolution”.

Let us also add that the Muslim Brotherhood has refused to join in governing the country. But it’s understandable: terrorist organizations are only capable of stirring up unrest, and never of governing or controlling. It seems, here too Barack Obama did something wrong, declaring the terrorists to be political prisoners... But most bewildering was the introduction of ex-head of the IAEA Mohamed ElBaradei as the main oppositionist. It was just another failed project. If the Army calls an election in September, Secretary-General of the Arab League Amr Moussa could become president of Egypt, as we have already written about. But Egypt still has to live that long, with debts rising, poverty level increasing and new riots on the way. It is now a thing of the past, but it seems Hosni Mubarak should have dispersed the protesters by force the next day after the riots started. But, perhaps, he did not need all that, like he did not need the transfer of power to his son. As a smart politician, Mubarak knew quite well what would cost his son the hereditary transfer of power.

Meanwhile, the “Muslim Brotherhood” intends to establish a political party. The statement of the “Muslim Brotherhood” published on February 15 says it will set up a political party once there are lifted the restrictions that prevented it and other groups from doing so under President Hosni Mubarak.