February 15, 2007 - 15:38 AMT
ARTICLE
Almost all present conflicts trace their roots back to the Empire breakdown
Kosovo wants to get separated from Serbia; as for Nagorno-Karabakh - it has nothing to get separated from, as the Republic has already proclaimed its independence and has its Constitution.
Almost all present conflicts are of similar origin; they all trace their roots back to the Empire breakdown. In the case with Kosovo and Karabakh it is the breakdown of the Ottoman Empire and the USSR. By the way, let us not forget to mention the Israel-Palestinian conflict, where Palestine was also part of the Ottoman Empire. Kosovo conflict, due to its proximity to Europe and to Turkey will most probably find a quicker solution than Karabakh conflict.
However it may initiate another Balkan war, since Akhtisaari's plan won't be accepted in Belgrade. According to the President of Serbia Boris Tadić, there are no particular records about the independence of the province mentioned in UN special representative Marti Ahtisaari's plans regarding the further developments in Kosovo. There was nothing mentioned about the sovereignty and territorial integrity of Serbia either.

Just to remind, that the Serbian Prime minister Voislav Koshtunitsa condemned Marti Ahtisaari's plan for its "anti-Serbian trend" and refused to meet the UN special representative. In the suggestions addressed to the President Boris Tadić the details of the plan are given. According to the plan Kosovo obtains state status, but will stay under international control. In fact, Kosovo will be allowed to get separated from Serbia and to have its own national symbols. The party will be allowed to have national symbols, including national flag, national anthem, as well as right of membership in international organizations, such as UNO. Own armed forces are also anticipated. More than once Serbia has announced that it won't agree to lose sovereignty over Kosovo.

Many times the possibility of Karabakh conflict regulation with the same Kosovo scenario has been mentioned, however this kind of regulation is not possible and first of all because of the "compulsory presence of international forces". Kosovo Albanians achieved "independence" when the USA and NATO needed Yugoslavia's breakdown; however no one helped the Armenians from Karabakh to fight for their right of life. Further. Kosovo wants to get separated from Serbia; as for Nagorno-Karabakh - it has nothing to get separated from, as the Republic has proclaimed its independence and has its Constitution. It is not important that the world doesn't recognize it. The international recognition, which is so much spoken about in Baku, doesn't solve anything in fact. Here the existing rules of game are different - will Nagorno-Karabakh be able to withstand the world community's attempts to solve the problem the way it is considered in Washington, Paris or Moscow? True, the latter doesn't play much role in this kind of conflict regulations, because what Russia is capable of is "a veto" in UNO. But unfortunately healthy relations with Serbia are more worthwhile for Russia, than with Armenia and Nagorno-Karabakh. The boarder issue is an unstable one and may change at any time. "Kosovo, Abkhazia, South Ossetia, Transdniestria Region, Nagorno-Karabakh are both the factors and the results of objective conditions; demographic and political developments, state dissolutions, and wars. Understanding the logic of developments is important for considering the objective reality. And the initial point is in the very characteristic of the era and region of the given conditions", this is what Bladimir Kazimirov thinks, someone who is familiar with the nature of conflicts perhaps better than many others.