And judging by Turkey’s behavior, she pursues one single goal - to force Israel to bow. It was very clearly demonstrated in Istanbul, where in one of the suburbs on a tower crane a placard was posted, depicting Israeli President Shimon Peres bowing from the waist to Turkish Prime Minister Erdogan. Hanging of the poster was accompanied by a massive folk festival.

The Turkish Prime Minister was to arrive in that very region to attend the ceremony of putting into operation a new road. Before the President’s arrival the poster representing Peres was removed.

Turkish newspapers insist that the poster was a response to public dishonor of the Turkish Ambassador in Tel Aviv, where Deputy Minister of Israeli Foreign Affairs Danny Ayalon had intentionally sat him on a chair with lower feet, MIGnews reports.

But was it really so? Apparently Ankara simply wreaks her anger in Jerusalem for the U.S. position on Armenian-Turkish Protocols. By the same token, she has a very powerful lever of pressure on Israel - water, which is valued in the Middle East more than oil, gas and similar natural resources. Israel can be brought to her knees very quickly, by cutting off the Euphrates. This is the reason why Jerusalem is so cautious in issues painful for Turkey, like recognition of the Armenian Genocide. It would be quite surprising if the Knesset passed the resolution on the Armenian Genocide presented by Haim Oron, despite the fact that everyone in Israel knows what actually happened in the Ottoman Empire back in 1915. Approximately the same way matters stand in the Israeli-Azerbaijani relations. Turkey provides water, Azerbaijan provides oil. For a small country in the ocean of hostile Arab world it’s a matter of physical survival. Despite all the support the USA is far away, while Turkey is near and if she eventually takes the side of Iran and the entire Islamic world, Israel will have to face hard times. This is why the Israeli leadership’s visits to Moscow have become so frequent recently.

But Jerusalem should not pin all its hopes on Ankara. Recent events show that Turkey has almost reached the verge after which a military coup, overthrow of the government and military power are inevitable. This scenario already has a precedent, and no one in Turkey will be surprised at such a turnover. The ruling Justice and Development Party certainly enjoys the support of some people, but the army also receives a powerful backing. The question is who can make the most of the little advantage. The detention of 50 senior officers says a lot. And the fact that Chief of the General Staff in Turkey, a man without whom no important decision has ever been made, calls for the army to be patient, also says a lot.

Thus, there is no doubt that there will be certain changes in the Middle East, and it is also obvious that they’ll, first and foremost, have an effect on Armenia. Here immediately the question arises: if by the highest standards Turkey is rather an unstable state, why should the Protocols be ratified and the border opened? Extra concerns are of no use on earth for Yerevan. Isn’t it better to wait till special general election in Turkey, which appears to be not far off, and then decide with the new parliament whether to ratify the documents or not? Then it will also be clear what kind of relations to establish with Israel. Armenia is not so much in need for these relations, but you cannot do without them, either. In short, as always we depend on Turkey to a greater extent than on Russia or the United States, and this is simply because of our geographical location...