A conflict between Iran and West over the nuclear program will influence not only on the South Caucasus but also on the whole world, said Azer Mursaliyev, the head of the political and economic department of Kommersant daily. Presently it's impossible to give a detailed forecast on the conflict's possible influence on the region, according to him. "The nature of the conflict is not known yet as well as the kind of attacks," he said adding that some Russia media furnished information on the facilities to be bombed in Azerbaijan and Georgia. "I don't think it will help Iran. The scenario with closing the Strait of Hormuz is more likely. It will be enough to sink a couple of tankers or barges. Any rebel in American's rear, i.e in Iraq, is also senseless. U.S. has the only military power to fight against Iran - the navy," he said.

"If the U.S. operation leads to change of power in Iran, the significance of Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan will sharply lower. "Presently Azerbaijan and Georgia are eyed as the only narrow corridor relatively free of Russia and Iran's influence. In case of change of power Iran will no more be an anti-America state and the corridor will become unnecessary," the expert considers.