April 2, 2010 - 15:44 AMT
Ratification of Armenian-Turkish protocols can raise possibility of new war in Karabakh

Armenian President Serzh Sargsyan is likely to meet with his U.S. counterpart Barack Obama in Washington. This meeting will offer the U.S. President a chance to avoid using the term Genocide in his April 24 address to the Armenian community, said Kiro Manoyan, ARF Dashnaktsutyun Bureau’s Hay Dat and Political Affairs Office director.

“Erdogan knows that his refusal to take part in the impending Nuclear Security Summit will bring more pressure on Turkey. So, he will go to the U.S. to try to prevent recognition of the Armenian Genocide by Mr. Obama,” he said. “The U.S. is interested in normalization of Armenian-Turkish relations. With ratification of protocols, it will relieve the burden of Woodrow Wilson’s arbitration award.”

As to Nagorno Karabakh conflict settlement, Mr. Manoyan said no progress is expected. “War is possible on two cases: if Azerbaijan is confident of victory and if Turkey sacrifices Azerbaijan’s interests for reconciliation with Armenia. At that, ratification of protocols can raise the possibility of a new war in Karabakh,” he said.