All what’s happening in Middle East is the change of secular regimes established in the 20th century, a Russian expert said.

“There are a lot of reasons for discontent. The global economic crisis affected tourism income in Egypt and Tunisia. Besides, prices for foodstuffs are going up. The governments are corrupted. The leaders in both states are advanced in years. Egypt faces the split between the secular leadership and the Muslim population. The scandalous disclosures of Wikileaks and media reports about Mubarak’s illness put the lid on it,” Alexander Sotnichenko, senior fellow at the Saint Petersburg State University, told a PanARMENIAN.Net reporter.

“There are two possible scenarios for Egypt. ElBaradei can conclude a deal with the special services and form a coalition government, if supported by the U.S. and other powers. However, they will hardly restore domestic order in the near future. Or, if the economic damage is to great, the country will sink in chaos,” he said.

“One thing is clear. Mubarak and his family are completely discredited and unlikely to retain the power. Further development of the situation depends of Egypt. Should the order be established there, the example can be catching,” Sotnichenko said.

As to Jordan, the situation is better there, according to him.

“The rulers are strong, economy is developing and the opposition is legal,” he added.