Tadevos Charchyan:

The United States may suffer serious and irrecoverable loses in Iran

PanARMENIAN.Net - The Iranian problem becomes more and more actual. Is the United States going to bomb Iran or not, if Iranian nuclear program is a threat to the world and region, or there exist other considerations, which can lead to one more conflict in the Greater Middle East. Specialist on Persian philology Tadevos Charchyan told the PanARMENIAN.Net journalist about possible development of events.
What really America is guided by in the Iranian issue-the nuclear security or control over the oil region?

First, again and again America does not stop proving its hegemony over the whole world. Here first of all the invasion of Iran serves as one more evidence and the world media has been reporting that agents and various groups have already working actively in Iran, examining the country from inside. In this issue oil plays the most insignificant role, since it is not a secret that currently superpowers and developed countries do not have oil at all. I think, most likely political aspects and control over Iranian military engine is on the first place of U.S. priorities. There is one more important moment. With the help of threats the United States wants to once again show Iran that they are capable to simultaneously lead a war in several directions and one more time to exert pressure on Iraq. In its part such a turnover of events can quickly play an important role in reaching the main goal in Iraq.

But Iran, as was repeatedly mentioned, is not Iraq. What the American troops can expect if they really launch a war in Iran?

In case of military attack against Iran American troops can suffer serious and irreplaceable loses. First of all, we should take into account the large geographical area that Iran occupies. It will be very difficult to keep under control these territories. There are more intellectuals in Iran who can lead an effective, intelligent and organized war. It has a lot of experienced military leaders. Iran can put incomparably more means and armaments and of course, military contingents in the war. And at last, we should not forget about many Iranians that live in the United States, and, by the way, they are more patriotic for their historical homeland. Perhaps, they do not agree with the current regime in Iran. But they love their Iran both in the context of culture and values, and in the context of nation, that's why they will not seat quietly and watch how their great country is being destroyed, how are being destroyed the cultural values by analogy with ancient Mesopotamia, where first civilizations were born. Also there are other detail problems, and the U.S.A. understands it very good.

What steps can Azerbaijan make in this case?

Azerbaijan will not actively participate in the war against Iran, but we should nod ignore the fact that Baku, as always, will raise the problem of Iranian Azerbaijan (ancient Atrpatakan), again and again underlining the same false and funny thesis that their brothers live there. It's not a secret for anyone that residents of Iranian Azerbaijan are Azeris, in other words, Turkish speaking Iranians. I think, Baku will not take any actions, it will remain neutral, since from the one hand Azerbaijan will not want to harm not so good relations with Islamic Iran, and from the other hand, it will not dare offend the United States.

Is there really a serious opposition to the ruling "ayatollah regime" in Iran?

As to the Iranian opposition it will not try to settle its problems relying on the United States, at the expense of the country and its own security. The opposition realizes the situation very well and generally will try to solve its problems with the help of domestic means. True, pro-American powers can make use of it, and this must be taken into account.

How the beginning of military actions can reflect on Armenia directly near her borders, if the U.S. administration really will launch a war?

U.S. attack on Iran will have a negative influence on Armenia, which will occur between two flames. The choice will be very difficult: economic and financial aspects from the one hand, neighboring and friendly Iran from the other hand, that Armenia has a lot of common with. And Armenia cannot remain neutral, since a lot of things connect us with the international community. I think, we must believe and hope, proceeding from the situation, that there will not be any conflicts.

What can we expect from Turkey and Georgia in this issue, who will they support?

I think they all have pro-American moods, though it is difficult to make predictions now. Let us wait and see how the events will develop.
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