Russia wants the Armenian-Turkish border opened in order to turn Georgia into a territory of no interest, thus forcing her to "throw herself upon the mercy of Russia". Indeed, if the USA turned off the missile defense program in Europe, it is time for Saakashvili to make a decision. All the fantasies of Georgian as well as Azerbaijani politicians that missile shield will be located in the South Caucasus, are unfounded and merely a figment.

However, we are more interested in the behavior of Russia in Armenia, or rather its behavior towards the opening of Armenian-Turkish border. All the current actions of Moscow are nothing but formation of a background against which the main action is to develop on October 13-14. On the whole, nobody is interested in the date of signing the agreement except for Armenian politicians, who immediately began to draw parallels between this date and the date of signing the Kars Treaty, claiming that not by chance do these dates coincide. They might be right. But as far as we know, the calendar of the European Championship matches is defined by FIFA and Turkey has nothing to do with it. She could only "bribe" the participants of the draw ceremony... But all this is so insignificant that it is even funny to discuss.

Moscow and the whole world understand that today Armenia is simply not able to think of anything other than these Protocols. On the one hand it is good, but on the other it can be so arranged that Armenians themselves "mix up" the process, which, anyway, will go the way it is beneficial first for Russia, then for the U.S. and finally for the rest of the world.

One thing is almost a 90% guarantee: the border will be opened, Russia will consolidate her presence in the Caucasus and will further strengthen her political and economic ties with Turkey. Moreover, the border security from the Armenian side will still be organized by Russian frontier guards. In short, two important achievements can be added to Russia's diplomatic credit this month: the refusal of Pentagon from missile defense and final obedience of Armenia, no matter how sad it is for Yerevan. Although in the latter case, we can also count the positives: nobody can guarantee that Azerbaijan will take decisive steps towards the Karabakh conflict settlement, enlisting Ankara's support, which obviously offers assistance as compensation. Everyone knows that the statements of Erdogan and Davutoglu on "preconditions" are nothing but an attempt to save face.

In short: the talks will end in signing certain interim documents, as a result of which the Armenian-Turkish, or, if you wish, the Russian-Turkish border will be opened. Perhaps it will be open only at certain hours, such as the Georgian checkpoint Vale - from 8 a.m. to 8 p.m. But in all this story there is one big "but": the whole process is presented to the world community as if it was Armenia that closed the border, unleashed the Karabakh conflict and destroyed half a million Armenians. This is what our politicians and analysts should voice instead of making a political PR....