September 11, 2012 - 20:53 AMT
PanARMENIAN.Net - Diplomats and analysts say that if another war breaks out, it is likely to end in stalemate, according to Reuters.
"The Azeris can't retake Karabakh now. They are militarily incapable of doing it," said Matthew Bryza, a former U.S. ambassador to Azerbaijan.
"I don't think they could dislodge the Armenian forces from the high ground. I think that's extremely difficult."
Yusif Agayev, an Azeri military expert and veteran of the war, said there was no mood for a protracted fight.
"I think it would be a month or two, that is the amount of time our armed forces could fight for. If it drags on longer then it will become a war that society will have to participate in, not just the army," he said. "I don't think the society of my country is ready for war."
Both Bryza and Agayev's remarks run counter to official statements by Azeri leadership and media.
Baku keeps hailing Azeri army as the “mightiest in the region,” which wouldn’t have any difficulty in seizing Karabakh and even Armenia. Baku cites the “expertise” of Azeri soldiers as well as major purchases and production of arms to prove its point. The reality however is quite different, as proved by former envoy Bryza’s statement.
Azeri media insists that the country’s society is ready to any sacrifice to shed Armenians’ blood. Turns out, not so much, as Azeri military expert’s statement proves.
As for international experts, many of them, including Turkish specialists, named Armenian army as the most efficient in the region.