March 22, 2012 - 12:22 AMT
PanARMENIAN.Net - European Friends of Armenia (EuFoA) publishes the results of its poll titled “Poll: A Snapshot of Pre-Electoral Armenia”.
The poll was conducted by Institute for Political and Sociological Consulting (IPSC) and EuFoA, with international polling company TNS opinion providing extensive quality control and supervision. The fieldwork was conducted between February 29 and March 5, 2012.
At the beginning of the campaign period, the two largest parties score results without significant differences (error margin: 2.4%), but far ahead of any other party. Meanwhile, four smaller parties are all equally likely to pass the 5% threshold and move into the National Assembly, or not.
“It is stunning that at the beginning of the campaign period, nobody can say if we will have a parliament made up of 6, 5, 4, 3, or even just 2 parties! This also means that nobody can today predict a specific outcome. The only thing we know is that already today, a very large number of people is already certain to vote,” comments Dr Michael Kambeck, EuFoA’s Secretary General.
Gagik Tsarukyan is the most popular party leader in Armenia, while Serzh Sargsyan still has a strong lead when asking for Presidential preferences, accordimg to the poll.
People across the country show dissatisfaction or distrust in political institutions, and the “perceived” situation in the country today is rather negative. However, the picture becomes more positive when the respondents were asked about the real situation of their own families, and when they evaluate the change of the general situation in Armenia over the last 5 years.