Hayk Demoyan: Ilham Aliyev might stake his all and start a war
Ilham Aliyev might stake his all and start a war, for the lack of any other resources to preserve power, Armenian Genocide Museum director Hayk Demoyan said.
As Hayk Demoyan told a news conference in Yerevan, commenting on the possibility of Armenia-Azerbaijan war, should the war start, it will be a short one, being immediately stopped by the international community, like it was the case with 2008's Russia-Georgia war.
"Ilham Aliyev has to realize his army is under the influence of Turkish officers and generals, who are, quite traditionally, capable of overthrowing their rulers at any point," Demoyan said, adding that under the influence of Turkish generals, the ruling Nakhichevan clan will have to face the grim prospect of the change of power whether Azerbaijan wins the war or it doesn't.
As Demoyan noted, Azeri president has to be concerned about the perspectives of winning the war, running the risk of being picked as a target by generals. "No reasonable politician would start a war in the region, what with his unstable position. War is generals' and not politicians' business, even less so Ilham Aliyev's chose to spend holidays in Turkey during the war," Armenian Genocide Museum Director stated.
The Nagorno-Karabakh conflict broke out back in 1991, when, subsequent to the demand for self-determination of the Nagorno-Karabakh people, Azerbaijani authorities attempted to resolve the issue through ethnic cleansings, carried out by Soviet security forces (KGB special units) under the pretext of the implementation of the passport regime and by launching of large-scale military operations, which left thousands dead and caused considerable material damage. A cease-fire agreement was established in 1994. Negotiations on the settlement of the conflict are being conducted under the mediation of the OSCE Minsk Group Co-Chairmen (Russia, USA, France) and on the basis of their Madrid proposals, presented in November, 2007.
Azerbaijan has not yet implemented the 4 resolutions of the UN Security Council adopted in 1993, by continuing to provoke arms race in the region and openly violating on of the basic principles of the international law non-use of force or threat of force.
As Hayk Demoyan told a news conference in Yerevan, commenting on the possibility of Armenia-Azerbaijan war, should the war start, it will be a short one, being immediately stopped by the international community, like it was the case with 2008's Russia-Georgia war.
"Ilham Aliyev has to realize his army is under the influence of Turkish officers and generals, who are, quite traditionally, capable of overthrowing their rulers at any point," Demoyan said, adding that under the influence of Turkish generals, the ruling Nakhichevan clan will have to face the grim prospect of the change of power whether Azerbaijan wins the war or it doesn't.
As Demoyan noted, Azeri president has to be concerned about the perspectives of winning the war, running the risk of being picked as a target by generals. "No reasonable politician would start a war in the region, what with his unstable position. War is generals' and not politicians' business, even less so Ilham Aliyev's chose to spend holidays in Turkey during the war," Armenian Genocide Museum Director stated.
The Nagorno-Karabakh conflict broke out back in 1991, when, subsequent to the demand for self-determination of the Nagorno-Karabakh people, Azerbaijani authorities attempted to resolve the issue through ethnic cleansings, carried out by Soviet security forces (KGB special units) under the pretext of the implementation of the passport regime and by launching of large-scale military operations, which left thousands dead and caused considerable material damage. A cease-fire agreement was established in 1994. Negotiations on the settlement of the conflict are being conducted under the mediation of the OSCE Minsk Group Co-Chairmen (Russia, USA, France) and on the basis of their Madrid proposals, presented in November, 2007.
Azerbaijan has not yet implemented the 4 resolutions of the UN Security Council adopted in 1993, by continuing to provoke arms race in the region and openly violating on of the basic principles of the international law non-use of force or threat of force.
