Local wars cannot drag on endlessly and may result in extensive military operations embracing entire regions

PanARMENIAN.Net - Architects of the present world structure, USSR, USA and Great Britain, most likely were in no doubt about the stability of the arbitrarily fixed borders between states, that was why the principle of territorial integrity was silently accepted by dominant states, where old conflicts were still smoldering. The world powers, however, could not have foreseen one nuance - the collapse of the USSR and emergence of new «independent» republics that quickly became UNO members in order to consolidate the administrative-territorial borders of the former Union. However, even the UNO membership could not guard certain republics against ethnic conflicts and the world against the approaching perestroika. It is quite natural that the Balkans should remain the hottest spot, where the conflict among Balkan nations arose still at the times of the Ottoman Empire. Neither the First nor the Second World War was able to reconcile the Bosnians, Serbs, Croats and Albanians. From this point of view the totalitarian regime was unique in radically wiping out separatist views. It worked in the USSR and it worked in Yugoslavia. The 21st century, however, did not bring peace; moreover, it completed the list of conflict zones with Iraq, Afghanistan, Pakistan, and the Pacific states. The most interesting point here is that in any spot of the world where the American forces appear with the alleged aim to solve conflicts, the latter hastily grow even deeper. Of course, struggle against terrorism and illegal narco-business, possession of oil supplies in the Middle East are very important but, for some reason, the result is always the same: collapse of the country, crisis in just another marionette country, and, consequently, a rapidly growing gap between developing and backward countries.

Russia's methods are almost identical with those of the USA. In an attempt to return the whole Caucasus, Russia revoked the two Chechen wars, as well as the Georgian-Abkhazian war in 1991 and played a reprehensible role in the primary stage of the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict, helping the Azerbaijani Emergency Platoon to conduct the operation "Ring", the result of which was the cleansing of Armenians from lowland Karabakh.

However, sooner or later all these conflicts have an effect on the world powers themselves. And who knows what bred the world crisis? The means used up by both Russia and the USA on arms and support of puppet regimes could not but affect the world economy.

Recurring to the Helsinki Act, we should note that in essence its signing served as a bomb in a delayed action, as it is impossible to adopt two mutually exclusive principles or give preference to either of them. The right of nations cannot be secondary, but the problem of territorial integrity is very often disputed, especially since mother countries cannot simply eliminate the empire complex and neither can they imagine part of «their» territory torn away. The danger is that local wars cannot drag on endlessly and may result in extensive military operations embracing entire regions, like it is now in the Middle East or in Central Asia. In 80s there was defined a certain «arch of instability», which comprised Iraq, Lebanon, Turkey, Iran, Afghanistan, the republics of Central Asia, Pakistan, India - actually half of the Islamic World. It should also be noted that world oil and gas reserves are all concentrated on this 'arch' and it is exactly through it that opium from Afghanistan goes to other countries.

The search of alternative energy supplies and recession may lead to radical changes in the world political map, including emergence of new super-states. As a matter of fact, they have already appeared; they are China and India, which both the USA and RF will have to reckon with.