No matter how the region changes, Armenia will be of no strategic interest to Israel

PanARMENIAN.Net - The latest example is the Azerbaijani-Israeli relations, which both for the Jewish state and for Azerbaijan are much more important than the Armenian-Israeli relations. The latter hardly exists. Let us cite an example: “Azerbaijan may spoil its relations with Israel. According to Azerbaijani media, President of Azerbaijan Ilham Aliyev signed a decree, which approved the agreement between Azerbaijan’s MFA and the State of Palestine on disposing material-technical support to Palestinian Embassy in Baku. The agreement was signed in Baku on January 31.

This fact did not slip the attention of Israel, as it was the first time that the term “the State of Palestine” instead of “Palestine” had been used in bilateral documents of the two countries. Earlier, Baku had stood for the establishment of Palestinian state, with Jerusalem as its capital. Azerbaijani political circles state that Israel has warned Baku to revise her policy toward Palestine, otherwise Jerusalem would answer by recognition of independence of the Nagorno-Karabakh Republic.”

This information is not worth a damn, because if Israel refuses to recognize the Armenian Genocide, having, probably, good reasons for that, she will certainly not recognize the independence of Nagorno Karabakh. In Big Politics one’s own interests are in the first place, but it is the truth the Armenian “experts” are unwilling to realize. Living in the Arab world, where moderate adherents of Islam are much fewer than radicals, Israel must be overcautious in order to survive. And it is exactly what she does. Israeli foreign policy stands out by its carefulness, and the country will never take the path of confrontation with Azerbaijan and Turkey. She does not need to get involved in the affairs of a region not so close to her, especially under the current circumstances when her only ally - Hosni Mubarak - was forced to resign. Neither is it advisable to implicitly rely on the United States, which is not so happy about Israel’s existence. Or rather, let us say, she has come not to be so happy about it. The Obama Administration has won laurels in the Muslim world, to the detriment of respect and protection of all the other allies. So, Azerbaijan and Turkey, despite their unreliability, prove to be more predictable than the U.S. or Europe.

As for the closing of Israel Embassies in several countries, including Turkey and Azerbaijan, it is no more than a stopgap measure. After all, Jerusalem knows that both of the above-mentioned countries, though trying to distance themselves from radical Islam, are still Muslim. And all of their “secularism” can easily turn into nothing under threats from Hezbollah or any other grouping, for which the existence of Israel is a bur in the throat.

As to Armenia, for Israel she’s just a not very close country that boasts rather complicated relations in the region. So, Israel needs not interference in the Karabakh conflict or in Armenian-Turkish relations. Neither does Armenia need to get involved in Palestinian-Israeli relations and recognize (or not) a state, which does not exist, namely Palestine.