Aliyev is concerned to preserve the flow of petrodollars

PanARMENIAN.Net - It may seem to a looker-on that Aliyev Jr. is concerned exclusively about his country, his people, and the like. But, in fact, he’s nothing to do with either Karabakh or the Azeri people, who still suffer from the threat of floods. What worries him most is the petrodollars, which have become a real disaster for the country. Aliyev’s mood was also shattered by the Armenians, who quite justly accused him of occupying the regions of Shahumyan, Getashen and Martunashen. By the way, unlike the Baku propaganda, Armenia and Nagorno-Karabakh blame quite substantiated. And so, it may so happen that at the Alma-Ata meeting there is discussed the issue of returning the territories claimed especially by the Armenian and not the Azerbaijani side.

By and large, Ilham Aliyev could be pitied, but for one circumstance. Until recently all of his bellicose statements were perceived inertly by the world community, which on the one hand makes them quite nonsensical, on the other gives Aliyev the false sense of self-importance. However, certain sources inform that cold water was poured on Aliyev in St. Petersburg and it’s quite possible that the Azeri foreign minister will share his president’s fate at the slated meeting in Alma-Ata. After the summit of the OSCE Ministerial Cpuncil things may take two possible turns, both fatal for Aliyev. In the first case Aliyev launches a war, which lingers about a week. During this time all the channels of petrodollars are closed. There are also terrorist acts possible at the pipeline Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan, which the Kurds will organize, taking advantage of the general mess. The world community, unengaged in football, will quickly take control of the situation and introduce order. Meanwhile Aliyev will lose another 20% of territories, if not more. Turkey will not interfere, because of her obligations before NATO. Besides, the internal political situation in Turkey gives little chance of supporting someone of indefinite relation to her. The second scenario is much shorter: Baku agrees to the St. Petersburg principles, where obviously the issue of the Nagorno-Karabakh status and that of three Armenian regions dominates. In such turn of events the unaccomplished sultan will have to flee the country. In a word, both variants are disastrous for Azerbaijan.

As for Armenia, she has nothing to do here. Nagorno-Karabakh is an independent country and makes decisions that proceed from her own security. Let us add that recognition or non-recognition of your independence by this or that country has no say in anything, like the borders. The borders are decided by two countries based on mutual agreements. Of course, Armenia can recognize the independence of NKR, but she will do it only after Baku.