Ankara and Tehran do not have time for Karabakh problem

PanARMENIAN.Net - Tehran does not have time to deal with Karabakh, and Azerbaijan's position will hardly have a serious influence on confrontation between the United States and Iran, Vice-President of the Russian Academy of Geopolitical Problems Vladimir Anokhin stated. He said, the existing moods in Baku do not satisfy Iran, since President Aliev is under western influence. "Americans in their part, do not like the situation when the issue of placing a military base is being dragged out. Iranian Azeris will hardly be able to influence on Tehran's policy. There is no interest for them to create problems in the north of the country in favor of Azerbaijan, since the political situation of Azerbaijan himself is not stable," Alokhin underscored.



At the same time Vladimir Anokhin noted that Azerbaijan always enjoys the support of interested Turkey, which has traditionally supported Baku. "It is ridiculous to think that Ankara will change his stance on the problem, especially if we take into account the tense Armenian-Turkish relations. Ankara cannot influence on the situation through military means, since Russia has located some of his troops in Armenia. Instead, Turkey will not fail to provide political and technical assistance to Azerbaijan. Though the ways for providing assistance are limited due to the absence of direct communications. The Osmanians have common borders only with Nakhichevan, which is himself an enclave and does not have direct ground borders with Baku.



But of course, Iran may join here. Since Nakhichevan has common borders with Turkey, nothing horrible will happen to him in case of a war. According to the Kars Treaty Ankara has obliged to protect the region. And nobody will attack the former khanate until it attacks Armenia. In case of the latter condition Russian ally commitments will automatically come into force. However, Turkey will not display great activity in the region. Turkey has his own problems. The Armenian Diaspora has a rather serious influence not only in South Caucasus, but also in Europe. Turkey does not have strong positions. Ankara cannot join the European Union because of his Muslim origin. It is senseless for Ankara to aggravate the situation in the East when everything is not OK in the west with Greece and plus the country is being refused to join the EU. If an armed conflict breaks out, nothing will threaten Nakhichevan. A change of power will take place in Baku. Opposition will immediately make use of instability. Aliev may lose his power," Vice-President of the Russian Academy of Geopolitical Problems underscored, Nakanune.ru reports.