Kosovo's independence may give rise to chain reaction in other countries where exist similar problems

PanARMENIAN.Net - "Political consequences of Kosovo's self-declaration or "automatic" recognition of independence may give rise to a chain reaction in other countries where exist similar problems, and first of all in the CIS territory. After all, then desire of Abkhazians, Ossetians or Transdnestrians to keep to the beaten track by Kosovians will be quite lawful. Many things will depend on how Russia will behave himself. I remember in one of his recent meetings with western political scientists Vladimir Putin clearly stated that if Kosovo becomes independent, Moscow will radically review his policy on the post-Soviet territory. Will Moscow have enough courage and political will to stand for the unrecognized republics? There exist all grounds to suppose that we will get the answer for this question very soon," Director of Russian and CIS Programs of the German Council on Foreign Politics Alexander Rar stated. He said, the fate of Georgia and Moldavia is being determined in Kosovo.



The German political scientist underlined that the Ahtisaari Plan on "automatically" declaring Kosovo's independence did not pass again thanks to Russia's counteraction. But it did not fail at all. "America clearly supports the Plan and Russia emphatically opposes it. It is not clear what to do with Serbia, which understandably refuses to grant independence to his autonomous region. The decision to pass the issue from the UN Security Council to the Contact Group is a very important compromise. It is one more effort to use the time factor. And it works against "hotheads" who are rather enough both in Prishtina and Washington. Now it is the turn for politicians and experts to have a say, who will carry out additional examinations "on the spot". For Moscow this is a very good opportunity to draw off allegations from West, which affirms that Russians says "no" just proceeding from their principle to oppose Americans without going into the root of the problem. Certainly supporters of the Ahtisaari Plan have not also yielded. They are full of determination to realize it. It is quite predictable and USA's behavior. At the end of his office George Bush extremely needs victory in the Kosovo issue," Rar underlined, "Komsomolskaya Pravda" reports.