Iran puts trust in Armenian Diaspora and works towards cancelling visa regime

Nuclear weapon has long become a political lever and an intimidation tool, with the help of which Tehran hopes to grow into a regional leader, leaving Turkey behind.

November 9, 2011
The visit of Foreign Minister of Iran, Ali Akbar Salehi to Yerevan generated more questions than answers on the true role of Iran in Armenia. The constant tension over Iran’s nuclear program, together with its weighty position and role in the region makes Tehran look for allies, should a dangerous point arrive, followed by invasion or bombing.

Independent Kurdistan – dream or reality?

Turkish government is well aware of the danger behind strengthening Kurdish factor in the state, which has recently become more and more entangled in the search for identity.

November 8, 2011
After the establishment of “alternative Kurdistan parliament” in Diyarbakir, Official Ankara stepped up pressure on the Kurds and intensified the military operations against PKK guerrillas. The Turkish army is freely invading the neighboring countries, particularly Iraq and Iran, motivating the aggression by a fight against Kurdish rebels.

There is no room for Armenian Genocide in U.S. realpolitik

Washington needs Turkey for the military operations in Iraq and Afghanistan. This is precisely the reason why U.S. does not recognize the Armenian Genocide in the Ottoman Empire during the years of the World War I.

November 4, 2011
The Middle East has always been among the vital interests of the USA. This position was established especially after the World War I, when America, seriously forcing the UK to the background, replaced her in this troubled region, rich in oil. In the Soviet years there was a ding-dong struggle going on between the two world powers for leadership in the Middle East. However, after the collapse of the Soviet empire the struggle tuned into a sluggish clarification of who the stronger is.

Bashar al-Assad is reluctant to surrender to the mercy of opposition

Damascus has a great influence over the Arab world, the latter’s future depending on to what extent Bashar al-Assad will be able to resist the outside pressure.

November 1, 2011
Libya grew into an Islamic state, and Syria now is the only remaining secular Muslim country in the Middle East. Lebanon, naturally, does not count as she is too diverse and to consider her a Muslim country would be wrong; even the president’s post is occupied by Maronites. That said, torn by controversies and civil strife, Lebanon may one day cease to exist. However, this is not today’s issue. For NATO and USA the main concern is Syria, which is reluctant to welcome the “Arab spring” that did absolutely no good to the region.

What interest does Azerbaijan take in UN?

UN membership may sweep away the wave of arrogance in Azerbaijani officials, who will finally realize that not everything is measured by hydrocarbons and money, and that the dismal end of Gaddafi should threaten any leader sitting on oil and gas and trying to pursue an independent policy.

October 25, 2011
After long rounds of voting, Azerbaijan finally made its way into the non-permanent members of the UN. The fact itself is unimportant unless you take it into account that the Organization has become a “chat room” in which everyone is free to express themselves, without any benefit. Over the past 20 years, namely after the USSR collapse, the United Nations has long become something like a sump, in which Muslim countries together with the U.S. are playing first fiddle for the simple reason that they outnumber the others.

Gaddafi is dead, war continues

It is quite likely that Libya may return to tribal wars so successfully suppressed by Colonel Gaddafi for over 40 years.

October 21, 2011
Confrontation between National Transitional Council (NTC) and Muammar Gaddafi seems to be over. The colonel is killed. Maybe he died of wounds, committed suicide, or, most likely, was shot in his hometown of Sirte that is entirely under the control of rebels.

Armenia as “shield” against Islamic invasion?

In connection with the “Arab spring” that seems endless, Turkey’s recent behavior has been considerably worrying the Western civilization, which now faces the threat of Muslim expansion.

October 18, 2011
Following French President Nicolas Sarkozy’s visit to the region, U.S. Deputy Secretary of State William Burns, as expected, started an official visit, too. If we also add to this the upcoming visit of Armenian President Serzh Sargsyan to Moscow, it turns out that the U.S., EU and Russia have started preparations not only for their own elections, but also for the regional ones.

Armenia and Turkey are as far from each other as 2 years ago

Washington believes that normalization of Armenian-Turkish relations will become the victory of the State Department and President Obama, against the general background of diplomatic and economic failures that have recently rocked America.

October 11, 2011
Two years ago, under tremendous pressure from the U.S., Russia and EU, the Armenian-Turkish protocols on normalizing relations and opening the border were signed in Zurich. And today, as before, the signed documents have remained on paper. Moreover, Turkey is doing its best to bury them. And it’s noteworthy that she somewhat succeeds, Armenia, too, having her share in this achievement…

John Heffern, ambassador for the upcoming parliamentary and presidential elections in Armenia

It's no secret that elections in the South Caucasus are always under U.S. scrutiny, especially now that “Arab spring” seems endless.

October 10, 2011
For any country, and especially for CIS states, elections are almost a catastrophic phenomenon. Often these countries experience nervousness not only due to “lack” of democracy, but also because of its excess. In this case quite understandable is the activation of major powers in the process of driving Russia out of internal political developments. Noticeably stir up embassies of the West and the accompanying structures initially designed to “strengthen democracy and build a civil society”, but actually controlling the pre-election and post-election processes, making sure “the wrong” candidate fails.

PACE President’s persistence in Karabakh issue will lead to nothing

Instead of founding stillborn organizations, the PACE president had better cast a glance to the south-east of his native country, where a war against the Kurds has been lingering for over 30 years now.

October 4, 2011
PACE President Mevlut Cavusoglu seems reluctant to give up attempts to interfere in the Azerbaijani-Karabakh conflict. He has made a decision to resume the work of PACE Subcommittee on Nagorno-Karabakh. There is no doubt that Cavusoglu will be playing on the Azerbaijani side, trying to convince the organization to adopt the next resolution on “territorial integrity of Azerbaijan”. However, this is all he can do. Before starting all sorts of dubious initiatives, the PACE President should simply consider all the possible consequences of his move.